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12 Aug 2014

AUD/USD capped by 0.9340/50 – Westpac

FXStreet (Edinburgh) - Strategists at Westpac Global Strategy Group see the upside attempts limited by the area of 0.9340/50.

Key Quotes

“AUD/USD begins the week having traded 2 month lows but at least avoiding a test of 0.9200”.

“Friday’s sharp recovery in US equities helps the Aussie start the week calmly but the rest of the week should be more mixed”.

“Pricing for another RBA rate cut reached around 70% on Friday but has been trimmed to 50% on the bounce in risk”.

“Rate cut talk shouldn’t be encouraged by local data: we look for decent readings on business and consumer sentiment. Commodity price signals are firmly neutral”.

“0.9340/50 should cap the pair near term, with bears likely to have ongoing news-flow from Ukraine and Iraq to prevent a still arguably overvalued AUD from sustaining rallies”.
Aug 12, 2014

BoE to remain ambiguous on rate hike timing at Inflation Report briefing - ING

James Knightley from ING believes that during the briefing following the release of BoE's quarterly Inflation Report tomorrow improvements in the UK economy will be highlighted while the timing of the first rate hike will not be specified.
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Aug 12, 2014

German ZEW index much softer than expected - TD Securities

The TD Securities team of analysts point out that the German ZEW index for August came in considerably lower than expected by the markets, with the economic sentiment dropping to 8.6 from 27.1 (vs 18.2 exp) and the Current Situation deteriorating from 61.8 to 44.3 (vs 55.5 exp).
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