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3 Feb 2022

ECB sources: Policymakers see change at March meeting if inflation doesn't ease - Reuters

European Central Bank policymakers see a policy change at the March meeting if inflation does ease, said sources speaking to Reuters. The sources said that policymakers see a faster pace of tapering of the Asset Purchase Programme (APP) as its first point of call to fight higher inflation. According to the ECB's current policy, the APP will run at a rate of EUR 40B/month in Q2, EUR 30B/month in Q3 and then EUR 20B/month indefinitely from Q4. The sources added that a sizeable minority of ECB policymakers wanted to change policy at Thursday's meeting. 

The latest sources speaking to Reuters dovetail with ECB sources who recently spoke to Bloomberg, who also said that ECB policymakers are prepared for a policy change. The sources speaking to Bloomberg added that the bank had reportedly agreed it sensible to no longer rule out a 2022 rate hike, which likely explains ECB President Christine Lagarde's refusal to reiteration her prior assertion that a 2022 hike was unlikely at Thursday's press conference. The Bloomberg sources said that ending the APP in Q3 was a possibility, though no decision had yet been made on any policy shift. 

Feb 3, 2022

EUR/GBP reverses 100 pips higher from sub-0.8300, multi-year lows as Lagarde opens door to 2022 rate hike

EUR/GBP reversed 100 pips higher from just above late-2019/early-2020 lows in the 0.8280s after hawkish ECB commentary. President Lagarde refused to
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Feb 3, 2022

WTI rebounds towards Wednesday’s multi-year highs from earlier sub-$87.00 lows as oil market remains bullish

WTI has pushed higher from earlier sub-$87.00 lows to trade in the mid-$88.00s, up about 50 cents on the day. Oil has shrugged off equity market down
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