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Ada Ruang untuk Kenaikan Lebih Lanjut USD dalam Waktu Dekat – MUFG

Dolar AS terus diperdagangkan di level-level yang lebih kuat dengan indeks dolar AS bertahan di atas level 97,000 untuk pertama kalinya sejak pertengahan 2020. Ekonom di MUFG memprakirakan greenback akan mengalami kenaikan lebih lanjut di depan.

Posisi beli dolar AS belum ramai

“Ekspektasi pasar terhadap terminal Fed funds rate tetap stabil dengan suku bunga terlihat memuncak tepat di bawah 2,00% yang akan lebih rendah dari puncak siklus pengetatan sebelumnya 2,50% meskipun risiko kenaikan inflasi lebih tinggi. Itu masih menyisakan ruang bagi imbal hasil AS untuk terus mengarah lebih tinggi dalam waktu dekat dan mendukung penguatan lebih lanjut dolar AS pada awal tahun ini."

“Laporan penentuan posisi IMM terbaru mengungkapkan bahwa pelaku pasar telah tertangkap oleh kenaikan terbaru dolar AS. Laporan tersebut menyoroti bahwa posisi beli dolar AS belum ramai dan memberikan alasan lebih lanjut mengapa momentum kenaikan dapat berlanjut lebih jauh.”

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USD/CAD diperdagangkan dekat terendah harian, di sekitar wilayah 1,2720. Namun, ekonom di Scotiabank percaya bahwa pasangan mata uang ini seharusnya b
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