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4 Aug 2021

AUD/NZD pokes yearly bottom near 1.05000 on upbeat NZ Q2 job numbers

  • AUD/NZD sellers attack 2021 low during second day of losses on strong NZ employment data.
  • NZ Unemployment Rate dropped to 4.0%, Employment Change rose 1.0% in Q2.
  • Mixed market sentiment tests traders, data from Australia, China eyed for fresh impulse.

AUD/NZD remains on the back foot, taking offers around 1.0500 amid Wednesday’s initial Asian session. Although the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) hawkish tilt tried to save the bears the previous day, New Zealand’s (NZ) strong employment figures for the second quarter (Q2) weighed on the quote of late.

NZ Employment Change crossed past 0.7% market consensus and 0.6% prior to 1.0% whereas the Unemployment Rate dropped to 4.0% versus 4.5% forecast and 4.7% previous readouts.

Read: NZ jobs data beats expectatons, NZD/USD marginally higher

Other than New Zealand data that amplifies concerns over the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s (RBNZ) rate hike in 2021, Auckland’s victory to control the pandemic despite resurgence around the globe also exerts downside pressure on the quote. Furthermore, the RBNZ’s moves to curb property prices and hawkish outlook weigh on the AUD/NZD prices as well.

Meanwhile, the market’s indecision over US stimulus and recent geopolitical jitters concerning Iran and China challenge the pair’s moves. On the same line is the cautious mood ahead of the key US data/events as well as mixed covid updates from Australia, the UK and the US.

Amid these plays, Wall Street marked notable gains but the S&P 500 Futures drop 0.10% by the press time.

Looking forward, AUD/NZD bears may wait for Australia’s June Retail Sales and China’s Caixin Services PMI for July for fresh impulse. Should these data join the recently downbeat risk appetite, AUD/NZD may pause the downtrend for now. Additionally,  ADP Employment Change  for July, an early signal for Friday’s US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), as well as ISM Services PMI will be the key to follow.

Technical analysis

A three-week-old descending trend line around 1.0495 challenges AUD/NZD bears targeting the December 2020 low of 1.0412. On the contrary, recovery moves are capped by weekly resistance line and 21-DMA, respectively around 1.0580 and 1.0600.

 

Aug 4, 2021

Australia Commonwealth Bank Composite PMI remains unchanged at 45.2 in July

Australia Commonwealth Bank Composite PMI remains unchanged at 45.2 in July
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Aug 4, 2021

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Key DMAs test up-moves past 1.3900

GBP/USD seesaws around 1.3920-15 amid the initial Asian session on Wednesday. In doing so, the cable takes rounds to 50.0% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo
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