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3 May 2013

Forex: EUR/USD above 1.3100 ahead of EU economic growth forecasts

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - The EUR/USD was trading sideways around 1.3065 ever since the plunge on ECB Draghi’s press conference, admitting the readiness for negative deposit rates if needed, but money flows ahead of the European opening allowed a move back to 1.3100 ground as investors price in expectations ahead of the economic growth forecasts by the European Commission. The pair is pushing higher and has printed a high at 1.3116, for now.

The main attraction of the day remains the US nonfarm payrolls report: “Consensus forecasts at 145k drifted lower after the ADP report of 119k and our standing estimate of 162k looks admittedly toppish. Even if we are right, it would still represent a deceleration in job growth. The jobs number will be weaker than recent trends, even if odds favor a bounce higher in April”, wrote TD Securities analyst Alvin Pontoh.

“A break back below the short term uptrend at 1.3061 and a fall through the 55 day moving average at 1.3030 is still needed to confirm a trend reversal lower”, wrote Commerzbank analyst Karen Jones, pointing to 1.3225/43 as resistance.
May 3, 2013

Forex: GBP/JPY at fresh highs at 152.70/78 following PMI in UK

The GBP/JPY has been one of Friday’s most steadfast performers thus far, establishing session highs on the heels of a recent data release in the United Kingdom. In these moments, the pair is negotiating an exchange of 152.70/78 during European trading.
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May 3, 2013

Forex Flash: Bund characterized by bullish outlook – RBS

According to Technical Strategist Dmytro Bondar at RBS, “Bunds tested new highs above the 146.77 resistance confirming the bullish view – the level is the 161.8% Fibonacci projection from the January-March impulse wave.”
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