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29 Apr 2013

Forex Flash: Japan's industrial production to advance for third month - RBS

FXstreet.com (San Francisco) - The Japanese Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry is scheduled to publish the March's Industrial Production report on Monday 23:50 GMT (Tuesday 8:50 Tokyo time). Market consensus is to watch a 0.4% increase between February and March, but the RBS' analyst team is more optimistic as they see a 0.5% rise in the monthly figure.

The RBS team estimates “industrial production rose 0.5% mom in March, making it the third consecutive month of increase." The bank points that "in addition to the steady domestic demand, March real exports increased 2.8% mom after falling 2.4% mom in February, supporting the pickup in industrial production.

"However," the bank adds, "while there is still uncertainty in external demand and the competitiveness of Japanese companies in the global market is lower than before, it is unlikely that exports will be pushed up by a depreciation in the JPY."

Therefore, RBS believes "the pick-up in production will remain slow for the time being."
Apr 29, 2013

Forex: USD/CAD falls to 2-week low

Commodity currencies are outperforming on Monday underpinned by the positive market's mood and rising stocks in Europe and the US.
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Apr 29, 2013

Forex Flash: New lows on Italian bond yields support euro – UBS

On Monday, when markets digested the new Italian government, Italian bond yields fell to new lows and the euro appreciated, notes the UBS analyst team. "However, we do not think that this initial reaction is the beginning of a new momentum. The support in the parliament for this heterogeneous government is probably too weak, to address meaningful reforms".
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