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4 May 2020

Gold prices seesaw around $1,700 amid challenges to US-China trade deal

  • Gold prices gradually recover from the intraday low.
  • US President Trump cites an intelligence report suggesting China’s mishandling of virus outbreak, threatens to end the trade deal.
  • Concerns surrounding additional stimulus from the US, New Zealand act as the latest catalysts.
  • A light economic calendar keeps virus/trade headlines on the driver’s seat.

Gold prices fail to extend the uptick beyond $1,700 while taking rounds $1,698, down 0.10% on a day, amid the early Monday’s trading. It should be noted that the bullion slipped to $1,692.30 during the early-Asian session amid broad risk-off sentiment.

While good news from Gilead seems to eased the coronavirus (COVID-19) fears at the start of the week, the Trump administration’s criticism of China’s mishandling of the virus outbreak weighed on the risk-tone.

Having earlier said to cheer his allegations over the dragon nation, backed by the intelligence report, US President Donald Trump recently threatened to end the trade deal with China if it fails to purchase US goods.

Although the dragon nation terms the accusations as a bluff to fool the US voters, US S&P 500 Futures drop over 1.0% to 2,792 by the press time.

The recent catalysts are in the form of hints suggesting additional stimulus from the US and New Zealand, not to forget the downbeat survey from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS).

It should, however, be noted that the absence of Chinese and Japanese traders seems to restrict the yellow metal’s reaction to the risk-off sentiment.

Looking forward, traders will need to keep eyes on the US-China trade/virus updates for near-term direction.

Technical analysis

An upside clearance of 100 and 200-HMAs, respectively near $1,702 and $1,708, becomes necessary for the escalation of the recent recovery moves towards short-term resistance line, at $1,717 now. On the downside, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of April 21-23 upside, near $1,691 and Friday’s low near $1,670 could lure the bears.

 

May 4, 2020

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Bounces 20 pips from session lows

NZD/USD is trading near 0.6028 at press time, having hit a low of 0.6008 an hour ago. The bounce may be further extended to the 200-hour average at 0.
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May 4, 2020

USD/KRW Price Analysis: South Korean drops to five-day lows near $1230 post-week data

The South Korean won remains on the offered vs. the greenback for the third straight day, as USD/KRW consolidates near five-day highs of 1,229.93 reac
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