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25 Mar 2020

Singapore: Contraction in economic activity is a given – ANZ

We will get the first official data showing the extent of the COVID-19 economic impact on Q1 growth when Singapore releases its advance GDP estimates tomorrow at 00:00 GMT, analysts at ANZ Research inform.

Key quotes

“A contraction in economic activity in both quarter-on-quarter and year on-year terms is a given. The question is the extent of the decline. We forecast -4.4% q/q SAAR and -0.6% y/y.”

“The Q1 data will only be partial, and subject to further large revisions. The full impact of the COVID-19 outbreak will be seen in the Q2 data.”

“We expect the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to ease policy aggressively at their meeting on Monday, 30 March, by shifting to a neutral policy stance and re-centering the policy band to the prevailing S$NEER level.”

Mar 25, 2020

GBP/JPY jumps to near 2-week tops, further beyond 1.3300 mark

The buying interest around the British pound picked up pace in the last hour and lifted the GBP/JPY cross to two-week tops, closer to mid-133.00s. A c

Currencies: Further gains in the likes of NOK and AUD – TDS

NOK lead gains (+1.5% vs EUR), while safe-havens have underperformed their G10 counterparts. The US dollar has also weakened across the board, with Ca