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6 Mar 2020

India: CPI Inflation to correct in February – Standard Chartered

India will release January industrial production (IIP) and February CPI inflation data on 12 March while is scheduled to release February trade data from 12-15 March. Economists at Standard Chartered Bank share their forecasts. USD/INR trades at 73.6405.

Key quotes

“We expect IIP growth of 0.5% versus a 0.3% decline in December.”

“We expect CPI inflation to have fallen to 6.50% from 7.59% in January, mainly driven by a correction in vegetable prices as fresh supply hit the markets, lower prices of egg, meat and fish due to the coronavirus outbreak, and domestic retail fuel price cuts.”

“The trade deficit likely narrowed to USD 11.40bn from USD 15.17bn in January. While positive seasonality in the January-March quarter and lower oil prices have helped, the impact of lower export demand amid the global growth slowdown and seasonal rise in gold demand have limited the trade improvement.”

Mar 6, 2020

USD/CAD trades with modest losses, below 1.3400 mark ahead of US/Canadian jobs report

The USD/CAD pair refreshed daily lows, around the 1.3385 region during the early European session and has now erased the previous session's positive m

Australia: Non-food retail drowned in January – ANZ

COVID-19 may have been behind part of January’s weakness, along with the bushfires, according to analysts at ANZ Research. Coronavirus is estimated to