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12 Feb 2020

India: Inflation above the target – ANZ

The Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) target band of 2-6% for CPI inflation has been missed for the second month in a row, but analysts at ANZ Research see the price pressure moderating in the next months. USD/INR trades at 71.3175.

Key quotes

“For the second straight month, India’s headline CPI breached the upper bound of the RBI’s target band of 2-6%, marking 7.59%.”

“We expect price pressures to start moderating this month as base effects turn more favourable.”

“Given the continued build-up in inflation, a rate cut in April seems unlikely. In our view, the earliest the RBI can resume cutting rates is in June.”

Feb 12, 2020

India M3 Money Supply increased to 10.2% in January 31 from previous 9.9%

US: Fed to cut rates probably in April – Danske Bank

Strategists at Danske Bank analyze the situation of the American economy and which steps can take Fed’s Chair Powell in the coming months. Their view