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10 Feb 2020

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Oscillates in a range between 50/100-hour SMA

  • USD/JPY reverses an early dip to 100-hour SMA/23.6% Fibo. level.
  • The intraday uptick lacked any follow-through beyond 50-hour SMA.
  • The set-up warrants some caution before placing directional bets.

The USD/JPY pair reversed an early Asian session dip to the 109.55 region and managed to regain some positive traction from a support marked by 100-hour SMA.

The mentioned region coincides with the 23.6% Fibonacci level of the 108.31-110.03 recent positive move and should now act as a key pivotal point for short-term traders.

Meanwhile, the intraday uptick lacked any strong follow-through and remained capped at 50-hour SMA. This is closely followed by the key 110.00 psychological mark.

On the 1-hourly chart, technical indicators have struggled to gain any meaningful traction but managed to maintain their bullish bias on 4-hourly/daily charts.

The technical set-up and diverging oscillators warrant some caution before placing any aggressive directional bets amid continuous worries about the coronavirus.

Hence, it will be prudent to wait for a sustained break through the daily range before traders start positioning for the pair's next leg of a directional move.

USD/JPY 1-hourly chart

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