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30 Jan 2020

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Bearish exhaustion near supports keeps buyers hopeful

  • GBP/USD clings to 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of October-December 2019 upside.
  • An ascending trend line since December 23 also limits the pair’s near-term declines.
  • 50-day SMA, a downward sloping resistance line from 2019’s end challenge the bulls.

GBP/USD stays mostly unchanged near 1.3015 during the Asian session on Thursday. The pair have recently lost momentum while trading around the key near-term supports, which in turn increases the odds for its pullback should the BOE offer positive surprises.

Not only 38.2% Fibonacci retracement near 1.3010 but a rising support line since December 23, 2019, currently at 1.2985, also challenges the pair’s sellers.

Should there be an increased selling pressure past-1.2985, backed by dovish BOE and/or a rate cut, the pair’s drop to December 23, 2019 low near 1.2900 can’t be ruled out.

On the upside, the pair needs to cross a 50-day SMA level of 1.3070 to aim for a descending trend line from the end of 2019, near 1.3145/50.

If at all the bulls manage to dominate beyond 1.3150, the pair’s recovery towards the high of December 31, at 1.3285, can be expected.

GBP/USD daily chart

Trend: Pullback expected

 

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