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Australia: IHK Q1 Melemah - ANZ

Menurut analis di ANZ, Indeks Harga Konsumen Australia untuk kuartal pertama 2019 lebih lemah daripada yang di-antisipasi oleh mereka dan pasar.

Kutipan utama

"Angka utama untuk bulan Maret sesuai dengan perkiraan kami, tetapi inflasi inti secara material lebih rendah pada 0,2% kuartal/kuartal dibandingkan dengan perkiraan kami sebesar 0,4% kuartal/kuartal."

“Angka yang lemah berarti bahwa inflasi inti berarah jauh dari kisaran target RBA. Tanpa penurunan suku bunga, kita melihat risiko penurunan inflasi, dengan beberapa kelemahan pada data Q1 cenderung bertahan selama beberapa waktu."

“Kami berjuang untuk melihat bagaimana inflasi inti dapat kembali ke 2% tahun/tahun tanpa stimulus moneter tambahan; dan sekarang mengharapkan RBA akan memotong suku bunga sebesar 50 bp pada akhir kuartal September."

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