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10 Apr 2013

Forex Flash: EUR crosses maintain neutrality – UBS

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - UBS Strategists, Gareth Berry and Geoffrey Yu take a technical perspective at today's EUR crosses and note that there is a generally neutral-trending bias ahead.

In particular, the EUR/USD maintains a neutral outlook, as there is a strong resistance at 1.3115. Meanwhile, a closing break above this would extend the recovery to 1.3228. Support is at 1.3005 ahead of 1.2924. In terms of the EUR/CHF, resistance is at 1.2230, while there is a significant support at 1.2120 – only a break below this would be a major bearish development.

Moving to the EUR/GBP, neutrality also reigns, as resistance is at 0.8602 ahead of 0.8648, and conversely support is at 0.8463 ahead of 0.8410. The lone exception to this is the EUR/JPY, which they suggest is bullish in the near-term. Indeed, trending indicators are firmly bullish, as there is scope for test of critical resistance at 132.05 and then 134.48. Support is at 128.44 ahead of 126.76.
Apr 10, 2013

Forex Flash: Chinese data boosts CAD - TD Securities

They begin by noting that the overnight focus was on Chinese data, where robust import figures suggest domestic demand remains strong and it has boosted commodity currencies including the CAD.
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Apr 10, 2013

Forex Flash: G20 stands mum on BoJ activity – UBS

The silence of G20 Central banks over the BoJ's activities has been deafening to say the least. Developed market policymakers are holding back lest they be accused of hypocrisy, while Emerging market authorities may have geopolitical priorities in mind and do not want to open up new areas of tension. “Nonetheless, as their own asset markets have become far more open to overseas investment over the past few years, and more likely to be targets of upcoming Japanese investment, they may soon face their own 'inversion' problems.” warns Research Analyst Gareth Berry at UBS.
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