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11 Sep 2018

NZ: Monthly Inflation Gauge rose 0.6% m/m in August - ANZ

New Zealand economy’s ANZ Monthly Inflation Gauge rose 0.6% m/m (+2.8% y/y) in August and the result was driven largely by a 13.3% m/m rise in accommodation services, which made a 0.49%pt contribution, notes the research team at ANZ.

Key Quotes

“This reflects a strong month for prices of overseas accommodation prepaid in New Zealand (a recent addition to the accommodation component of the CPI basket), likely reflecting a mix of recent NZD weakness and seasonal demand.”

“In annual terms, the Gauge picked up a little momentum in August, accelerating 0.3%pts to 2.8% y/y.”

“The real test will be over the next year or so, once the economy has navigated some of the policy-induced noise, with growth in housing-related prices continuing to wane at the same time as the impact of weaker business investment and employment intentions plays out.”

“While non-tradables inflation appears to be holding up in the near term (consistent with the Reserve Bank’s forecast), our expectation is that economic activity will be insufficient to sustain non-tradables inflation at (or slightly above) the 3% annual rate needed to keep headline inflation around 2% over the medium term.”

Sep 11, 2018

Australia: Manufacturing firms continue to be positive – Westpac

The Australian Westpac–Chamber Actual Composite index rose in September 2018 to 66.5 from 64.1 in June, notes Simon Murray, Research Analyst at Westpa
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Forex today witnessed a recovery in risk appetite, despite looming US-China trade concerns, as the renewed optimism on the Brexit deal and NAFTA lifte
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