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USD/JPY Seharusnya Tetap Tertambat Cukup Dekat Dengan 111 - Westpac

Robert Rennie, Analis Riset di Westpac, menunjukkan bahwa pertemuan BoJ baru-baru ini, pergolakan yang sedang berlangsung di dalam pasar JGB dan tentu saja cek-cok perdagangan AS/China yang sedang berlangsung semua menambah rasa bahwa USD/JPY seharusnya tetap cukup erat tertambat ke 111.

Kutipan Utama

“Itu sangat besar dalam perkiraan netral jangka pendek kami untuk USD/JPY. Kami melihat babak berikutnya $16 miliar tarif oleh China dan AS selesai, dan $200 miliar berikutnya tiba akhir September. Event tersebut sepertinya cukup untuk mempertahankan USD/JPY dalam kisaran 110-112 selama beberapa minggu ke depan.”

“Namun, kami masih mempertahankan harapan untuk level-level yang lebih tinggi - the Fed akan memberikan kenaikan suku bunga pada September dan (mungkin) juga di Desember. Sementara itu laju penambahan likuiditas telah runtuh di Jepang dan yang lainnya akan diperlukan.”

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