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24 Jul 2018

Euro Macro: soft patch continues – ABN AMRO

Analyst, Nick Kounis, at ABN AMRO explained that the eurozone PMI surveys suggest the soft patch in the eurozone economy is continuing into Q3. The composite output index (a tracker of GDP growth) slipped to 54.3 in July from 54.9 in June. 

Key Quotes:

"That is above the low of 54.1 in May but below the elevated levels (around 58) seen at the turn of the year. At current levels, the indicator is consistent with economic growth of 0.4% qoq, which is roughly around trend."

"A fall in the services PMI (54.4 from 55.2) offset a modest rise in the manufacturing PMI (55.1 from 54.9). However, the details of the manufacturing PMI were not encouraging, with new orders continuing to weaken in July, driven by an ongoing slowdown in export growth."

"We think that somewhat firmer global growth and ongoing solid domestic fundamentals should see economic growth firming somewhat later in the year. However, the risks are skewed to the downside."

Jul 24, 2018

GBP/USD holds on to modest gains above 1.31 despite USD recovery

After closing the previous day below the 1.31 mark, the GBP/USD pair retraced the majority of Monday's losses as the latest Brexit headlines helped th
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Jul 24, 2018

US Agriculture Dept: Authorizing up to $12 bln in programs to assist farmers hurt by tariffs

The U.S. Agriculture Department secretary Sonny Perdue crossed the wires in the last hour announcing a $12 billion program to assist American farmers
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