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11 Jul 2018

AUD/JPY Review: Aussie stumbling back to 82.00 on trade war fears

  • Aussie free-falling as markets pile into safe-havens on renewed trade fears.
  • Tariff angst is ramping up as the US prepares to announce more tariffs on Chinese goods.

The AUD/JPY is falling back amidst a resurgence in trade war fears following headlines that the US is likely to be announcing further tariffs on Chinese goods.

The news, originally broken by Bloomberg citing anonymous sources, stated that the US is seeking further tariffs on $200 billion USD of Chinese imports, and the new tariff list is expected to be announced Tuesday evening US time. The caveat that the tariffs won't come into effect until after the usual public commenting period followed closely behind, but broader markets are dropping risk appetite and piling into safe-haven assets like the Japanese Yen.

The Aussie, which sees the Westpac Consumer Confidence Survey at 00:30 GMT (last 0.3%) and Home Loans figures (forecast -1.9%, last -1.4%), is already rapidly losing ground against the JPY, which will be seeing Machinery Orders (forecast -5.5%, last 10.1%) late Tuesday at 23:50 GMT, and risk aversion is only going to be swinging further into the red.

AUD/JPY Technical Analysis

The Aussie was only able to briefly mount the 83.00 major level against the JPY, and trade fears are knocking the AUD back into bearish territory for Wednesday.

Spot rate:  82.27
Relative change:  -0.45%
High:  82.66
Low:  82.25
   
Trend:  Sharply bearish
   
Support 1:  81.98 (61.8% Fibo retracement level)
Support 2:  81.26 (July 5th swing low)
Support 3:  80.97 (previous week low)
   
Resistance 1:  82.66 (current day high)
Resistance 2:  83.15 (current week high)
Resistance 3:  84.00 (major technical level)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AUD/JPY Chart, 15-Minute

Jul 11, 2018

NZD/USD: bulls losing grip below the 21-D SMA

NZD/USD is currently trading at 0.6820 with a high of 0.6842 overnight made in NY, being hit up upon fresh trade war angst headlines that are hurting
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