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H2 2018: Seven key risks ahead – JP Morgan

Analysts at JP Morgan highlight seven key risks, in its latest outlook report, as we head towards the second half of this year.  

7 key risks:

  1. “Trade conflicts become an economically-significant trade war; 
  2. US politics becomes even more complicated (Mueller investigation, mid-term elections); 
  3. US core PCE inflation overshoots 2%, triggering faster Fed tightening;
  4. OPEC-Russia relaxation of oil accord becomes disorderly; 
  5. Italy over eases fiscal policy and courts a funding crisis; 
  6. US's strike-first-negotiate-later approach to diplomacy brings military entanglement in South China Sea, Korea, Iran or Syria; 
  7. Liquidity risk turns a minor macro event into a major financial one.”

ECB's Coeure: ECB to invest 15 bln euro per month from maturing bonds in 2019

The European Central Bank (ECB) will buy around EUR 15 billion worth of bonds per month in 2019, using the principal payments from maturing securities
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Asia stocks extend slide as trade fears hammer China equities

Equities in the Pacific-Asia session have extended the week's decline, with the major bourses across Asia and the Antipodeans into the red for Tuesday
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