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4 May 2018

US jobs growth expected to pick up in April - Reuters

Reuters' preview of the upcoming US Non-Farm Payrolls report shows the lag on the report from the last reading, and the expected bump in the headline figures for this week.

Key quotes

"U.S. job growth likely accelerated in April after a weather-related slowdown in the previous month, with the unemployment rate expected to drop to near a 17-1/2-year low of 4.0 percent."

"The Labor Department’s closely watched employment report on Friday is also expected to show steady wage growth, which would add to signs of building inflation pressures and likely keep the Federal Reserve on a gradual path of monetary policy tightening."

"Non-farm payrolls probably increased by 192,000 jobs last month, according to a Reuters survey of economists. Payrolls rose by 103,000 positions in March, the smallest gain in six months, which economists dismissed as payback after unseasonably mild weather boosted hiring by 326,000 jobs in February."

"Some economists, however, caution that April’s job growth could come in below expectations, citing declines in measures of manufacturing and services sector employment during the month. More businesses are complaining about shortages of skilled workers."

May 4, 2018

US: Volatile jobless claims indicate solid labor market strength - Nomura

Initial jobless claims ticked up marginally by 2k to 211k in the week ending 28 April while continuing claims fell sharply by 77k to 1756k for the wee
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May 4, 2018

RBA: SoMP lifts inflation forecast but moderates outlook for employment - Westpac

Bill Evans, Research Analyst at Westpac, explains that there have been only minor changes in the Reserve Bank’s forecasts for growth, inflation, and u
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