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30 Apr 2018

NZ: Business confidence eased further in April - ANZ

Sharon Zollner, Chief Economist at ANZ, notes that New Zealand’s headline business confidence eased further in April and a net 23% of businesses are pessimistic about the year ahead, down 3 points from March.

Key Quotes

“All sectors are in the red, with services the least pessimistic and agriculture the most. Agriculture did manage a small gain on March, but construction plummeted to its lowest level since 2008. Firms’ views of their own activity (which has the stronger correlation with GDP growth), eased from +22 to +18. Manufacturing and agriculture lifted; construction fell a startling 38 points – excluding this sector the aggregate eased only 1 point.”

“The survey was a mixed bag this month, consistent with an economy pushing its way through capacity constraints and some residual policy uncertainty but with some solid support from record-high terms of trade.

  • A net 7% of firms are expecting to lift investment, reversing March’s lift.
  • Employment intentions eased 1 point to +9%.
  • Profit expectations reversed March’s lift, back from +6 to -1%.
  • Export intentions remained solid at +23%, down 1 point.
  • A net 26% of businesses expect it to be tougher to get credit, an improvement of 2 points.
  • Firms’ pricing intentions eased from +29% to +22%, with retail sector pricing intentions dropping 15 points to +6%, their lowest since 2004. Inflation expectations were again unchanged at 2.1%.
  • Residential construction intentions dropped sharply from +33% to +9%. Commercial construction intentions eased from +9.5% to +5%.”
Apr 30, 2018

South-North Korea summit eases some tension, but risks remain - Fitch Ratings

Fitch Ratings is out with comments on the South-North Korea summit meeting, cooling expectations of a drastic wrap-up to the Korea scenario. Key high
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Apr 30, 2018

UK, France and Germany agree support for Iran nuclear deal - Reuters

The UK PM Theresa May’s office came out with a statement on Sunday, announcing that Britain, France and Germany have agreed to support the US Presiden
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