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19 Feb 2018

Stronger forward guidance to weaken the yen? - Nomura

Analysts at Nomura explained that while no changes in the BOJ’s policy stance mean the direction of yen-crosses will depend on overseas factors, stronger forward guidance could weaken JPY by reducing market expectations for a near-term rate hike by the BOJ significantly.

Key Quotes:

"Even if the BOJ embarks on its exit strategy now (not our main scenario), new guidance on the 10yr yield target will also be considered to avoid disruptive market reactions."

"April’s policy meeting (26-27 April) will be the first meeting with the new BOJ leadership, and there will be more clarity on the new leaders’ policy stance into the meeting."

"We will look for any clues about the possible direction of the BOJ’s policy stance after the BOJ leader reshuffle."

Feb 19, 2018

EUR/JPY lifting on quiet markets, but bearish pressure still heavy

EUR/JPY is lifting in Tokyo trading, testing the waters around the 132.00 handle in quiet markets, with Chinese banks off for the first half of the we

AUD/USD: headed back to the 61.8% retracement level of 0.8135? - BBH

Analysts at Brown Brothers Harriman explained that the Australian dollar's advance brought it near the 61.8% retracement of the decline of the since l