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11 Jan 2017

NZ job ads: Going one better - ANZ

Sharon Zollner, Senior Economist at ANZ, notes that the New Zealand’s ANZ job ads rose 1.6% in December (seasonally adjusted) to be 18.8% higher than a year ago (3-month average) and this is the strongest annual growth since late 2011. 

Key Quotes

“Job ads have now risen for 16 months in a row (seasonally adjusted). Such a string of increases flags very strong demand for labour.”

“Auckland remains the strongest of the three main centres, with job ads 19.3% higher than a year ago (+6.7% 3m/3m). Wellington job ads appear to be flattening off (+2.3% 3m/3m) though are still up 15.2% on a year ago. Canterbury has been flat for some time (+1.5% 3m/3m, +1.9% y/y).”

“Our largest cities continue to be outdone by the regions in growth terms. Nine of the 11 less-urbanised regions are recording annual job ad growth stronger than Auckland (3-month average), while the other two are no slugs either (Taranaki +18.9% y/y, Southland +17.8% y/y). Gisborne job ads are up 51% on a year ago, with Hawke’s Bay moving into second spot (+39% y/y).”

“The construction, utilities, manufacturing and transport sector is the largest sectoral driver of total job ads growth at present.  Retail, tourism and recreation and services are not far behind.”

“The current strength of labour demand flags stronger wage growth in 2017.”

Jan 11, 2017

US: Strong economic releases across the board - Nomura

Analysts at Nomura note that the US posted strong economic data sets across the board in the previous session. Key Quotes “NFIB Small Business Surve
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Jan 11, 2017

Yen set to slump to 125 vs USD in 2017 - RBS

Mansoor Mohi-uddin, a strategist at NatWest Markets, a unit of Royal Bank of Scotland Group, said in an interview on late-Tuesday, that he sees Yen we
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