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19 Dec 2016

Bonds: amazing how markets have taken big rise of the 10-year US - BBH

Analysts at Brown Brothers Harriman explained that it is amazing how well the world economy and financial markets have taken a tremendous rise of the 10-year US yield. It finished July at 1.45%.

Key Quotes:

"It was 1.58% at the end of August and little changed in September. In October, the yield rose 13 bp to 1.82% before surging 55 bp in November to 2.38%.

In the first half of December is it up another 22 bp. Although the 2.75%-2.80% may draw some interest, it is the 3.0% area that many seem to be anticipating.

The March 2017 note futures contract may be headed for the 2014 lows on the continuation contract near 122-20. A break there brings the price back to 2011 levels.

Caution is in order. There has been a big move and neither the RSI nor the MACDs have confirmed it, and the March contract finished below its lower Bollinger Band."

Dec 19, 2016

China House Price Index increased to 12.6% in November from previous 12.3%

EUR/USD: looking for break below 0.9500 - BBH

Analysts at Brown Brothers Harriman explained that the euro has dropped a nickel since the high recorded in the knee-jerk response to the ECB's announ