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18 Dec 2013

Flash: USD/JPY has a triangle objective near 108.30 - JPM

FXstreet.com (Bali) - The rally for USD/JPY over the past month is consistent with the overall upside USD bias, notes Niall O'Connor, FX Strategist at JP Morgan.

Key Quotes

"Despite the concerns over extreme short positions, Friday’s push above the 103.74 May peak is in line with the bullish view confirmed with the break from the medium term consolidation/triangle pattern. In turn, we see potential for an extension into the 105/107 target zone."

"This area includes the 61.8% retracement of the decline from the 2007 high, as well as the downtrendline from the 1998 cycle peak. Note the triangle objective is just above near 108.30. A violation of the 102.18/101.62 lows over the past two weeks would imply a short term corrective phase is underway."

Dec 18, 2013

DXY simmering before full-blown explosion – the direction of which still remains unclear

The DXY is very likely going to see one of the more volatile days in quite some time as the Federal Reserve is set to provide the markets with a much needed dose of clarity – hopefully.

Session recap: Asian calm before the FOMC storm

The Asian session has seen minimal moves across the board with the exception of the Yen – which is down roughly 0.2%. The message of the session is “hurry and and wait”…