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5 Jul 2016

Australia: Retail sales and trade data were softer than expected – RBC CM

Research Team at RBC Capital Markets, notes that Australia’s retail sales and trade data for May were both softer than expected.

Key Quotes

“The details for retail were also weak (inc a downward revision to April). This points to a deceleration in household spending in Q2 that is unlikely to be reversed into H2 given the knocks to confidence from recent political developments, and the slower rate of household asset inflation more broadly.

A resilient consumer has been a key part of the reason why headline growth has been buoyant. So headwinds to growth are growing. Moreover, data suggest that retail price inflation remains weak, which we expect will be confirmed in Q2 CPI (due 27 July).”

Jul 5, 2016

USD/TRY seen above 3.00 in a year’s view – Danske Bank

According to analysts at Danske Bank, the Turkish Lira is expected to depreciate further within a year’s view. Key Quotes “We raise our TRY forecast

US NFP Preview: Rebound in June – Danske Bank

Research Team at Danske Bank, estimates that the US non-farm payrolls increased 150,000 in June, which is a little lower than consensus at 175,000, bu