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Trading news

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5 Jul 2016

RBNZ likely to deliver a little less and the RBA a little more - BNZ

Kymberly Martin, Senior Market Strategist at BNZ, suggests that the market prices slightly more than a 60% chance of an RBNZ’s OCR cut on 11 August and around a 1.85% OCR trough within the year ahead.

Key Quotes

“By contrast, the market prices that the RBA’s cash rate will be cut to 1.40%within this time.

Our core view is that both cash rates will trough at 1.75% (where the RBA’s cash rate currently sits). However, the risks around this view are that the RBNZ delivers a little less and the RBA a little more. That said, overnight the NZ TWI has pushed on up to its highest level since early-May last year. It is a full 8% above the RBNZ’s projections for the TWI’s average this quarter. If this level sustains then an August cut appears highly likely.”

Jul 5, 2016

RBA kept rates steady and adapted dovish tone - BBH

Research Team at BBH, notes that the RBA kept rates steady at 1.75%, as expected. Key Quotes “The statement was on the dovish side, noting that the

EUR/USD flat near 1.1150 ahead of US data

The common currency is trading almost unchanged vs. the dollar today, taking EUR/USD to the 1.1150/60 band ahead of the US calendar. EUR/USD looks to