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11 Dec 2015

EUR/NOK sellers alleviate upside pressure

EUR/NOK traders could soon see a period of short-term weakness on an intraday basis, allowing for some severe overbought studies to unwind.

The 50 SMA is above the 200 SMA on the hourly chart, at a distance superior to the daily ATR. This indicates an up-trending condition.

Longer-term traders following the 4H stochastic above 50%, don’t necessarily need to liquidate their long positions, but the 1-hour stochastic is increasingly hinting that it could be necessary soon.

The oscillator has build a plateau above the 70% level for more than eight hours and has just abandoned overbought territory with the recent hourly close. This is a warning of a potentially important short-term top.

Dec 11, 2015

AUD/JPY remains well offered

Unspectacular Fed rate turnaround? - Commerzbank

The Fed rate rise next week is less exciting for the FX market, according to Thu Lan Nguyen, analyst at Commerzbank. He stated that more important for USD exchange rates is what will follow after the first rate rise. However, as there are unlikely to be any concrete signs of the next move on rates, USD exchange rates should also barely show a reaction.