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11 Dec 2015

US: Countdown to lift-off begins – ING

FXStreet (Delhi) – Research Team at ING, suggests that next week will be all about the Federal Reserve rate decision.

Key Quotes

“Financial markets are currently pricing in around an 80% chance of a 25bp hike on 16 December and after US CPI shows a jump in the annual rate of inflation the day before, we think there will be a majority on the FOMC who believe it is finally time to start lifting rates higher.”

“After all, the economy is growing reasonably strongly outside of the manufacturing sector, jobs are being created in significant number, wages are starting to rise and inflation is bouncing higher as last year’s oil price plunge drops out of the annual comparison. Nonetheless, the accompanying statement will emphasise a cautious tightening path, which means it could be several months before we get another rate rise.”

Dec 11, 2015

US: All roads lead to US Fed next week – Westpac

Research Team at Westpac, suggests that their expectation that EUR/USD will decline to 1.05 by March 2016 relies not just on the FOMC announcing a rate hike next Wednesday but another in March.

US retail sales preview: What to expect of EUR/USD?

The EUR/USD pair has taken out the hourly 50-MA resistance amid sell-off in oil and weak European stock market and is eyeing 1.10 levels, heading into the US November advance retail sales report.