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30 Nov 2015

NZD/USD neutral bias near term – Westpac

FXStreet (Edinburgh) - Imre Speizer, Senior Markets Strategist at Westpac, sees the outlook for the Kiwi dollar as neutral vs. the greenback in the very near term.

Key Quotes

“We retain a neutral bias for the week ahead, NZD/USD the pair locked in a 0.6430-0.6600 range. The GDT dairy auction could give the NZD a temporary boost since futures markets are predicting a 9% bounce in WMP prices, but an ECB easing and US dollar supportive events should cap any rallies”.

“By year-end, we see the NZ economy slowing, the RBNZ easing in December, and the Fed tightening. We target 0.62. The main risk to this bearish view is the Fed delays its tightening cycle beyond December. A secondary risk is the RBNZ doesn’t cut in December”.

Nov 30, 2015

GBP/CHF drops to hourly 200-MA

The weakness in the cable, coupled with a technical correction in the oversold CHF saw the GBP/CHF cross drop to its hourly 200-MA at 1.5456 levels.

EUR: ECB easing expectations building up strongly - MUFG

Lee Hardman, Currency Analyst at MUFG, suggests that the euro continues to remain under downward pressure heading into this week’s ECB policy meeting on easing expectations.