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12 Mar 2015

Bunds eyeing 159.56 – Commerzbank

FXStreet (Barcelona) - Karen Jones, Head of Technical Analysis at Commerzbank, notes that after breaking higher the focus of June bund futures has shifted to the top of the channel at 159.96.

Key Quotes

“The Bund June contract has charted a new high and focus remains on the top of the channel at currently 159.56.”

“The previous high (on the March contract) was 160.00 and the top of the 7 year channel lies at 160.39.”

“We note the TD perfected set up on the 240 minute chart and would allow for a small retracement into the 157.75/50 zone.”

“Referring to the equalised daily continuation chart. The 2 major supports on this chart are the 55 day ma at 155.84 and the 2014-2015 uptrend at 155.19. These are the major supports which must hold for the bull trend to remain intact.”

“Shorter term (1-3 weeks): Attention reverts to support”

“Medium term (1-3 months): Uptrend and 55 day ma maintains bull trend.”

Mar 12, 2015

USD/JPY hits fresh lows below 121.50

USD/JPY swung between gains and losses during the Asian session, bouncing-off stiff resistance around 121.65 levels and fell back closer to 121 handle as traders brace for key US retail sales data for fresh cues on the pair.

Chinese growth estimate falls after ugly data – Rabobank

The Rabobank Team comments that the recent weak Chinese data has led to the Bloomberg’s GDP estimate for the country drop to 6.3%, lowest on the record since the first data point of 2009.