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2 Mar 2015

RBA might keep rates on hold, long AUD/USD – GrowthAces

FXStreet (Barcelona) - The GrowthAces Research Team maintains a long position for AUD/USD into RBA’s interest rate decision tomorrow, expecting the central bank to keep rates on hold.

Key Quotes

“The Reserve Bank of Australia holds its March policy meeting tomorrow and there is much speculation it could follow up a February easing with a cut to 2.0%. Interbank futures imply a 54% probability of a move this week, rising to 84% by April.”

“In our opinion the RBA will not change rates in March.”

“We stay AUD/USD long in anticipation for an on-hold decision tomorrow.”

“Significant technical analysis' levels:

Resistance: 0.7794 (21-dma) 0.7817 (10-dma), 0.7914 (high Feb 26)

Support: 0.7756 (hourly low Mar 2), 0.7721 (low Feb 13), 0.7644 (low Feb 12)”

“AUD/USD trading strategy: long at 0.7805, target 0.8020, stop-loss 0.7710”

Mar 2, 2015

PBoC’s USD/CNY fix working against its intention of lower rates – Danske

Flemming Nielsen, Senior Analyst at Danske Bank, comments that PBoC’s intervention in FX space to maintain the USD/CNY trading bank is pulling out liquidity from interbank market, which in turn is working against the central banks intention for lower interest rates.

Gold awaits US data

Gold prices are trading steady just above the 100-DMA located at USD 1215.54/Oz levels, ahead of the US personal income and spending data followed by the ISM manufacturing number.