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AUD/USD holding the base of a channel at .7602/.7597 – Commerzbank

FXStreet (Barcelona) - Karen Jones, Head of Technical Analysis at Commerzbank, shares the technical outlook for AUD/USD, expecting the pair to hold the base of the 2 year channel at 0.7597 in the shorter-term.

Key Quotes

“No change AUD/USD has halted just ahead of the base of the 2013-2015 down channel at 0.7597 – this is holding currently for a small rebound.”

“We note the divergence of the RSI. Initial resistance is .8034 (7th Jan low). Key resistance is the .8118 downtrend. A close above here is needed to alleviate the bearish pressure.”

“Below .7597 we have very little apart from the .7335, 50% retracement of the move up from 2001.”

“Support at .7720 guards the .7627 recent low.”

“Current Position: Holding tiny longs .7750. Recommended Trade: stops .7720.”

“Shorter term (1-3 weeks): holding the base of the 2 year channel at .7597”

“Medium term (1-3 months): Has reached the base of the 2 year channel at .7597. Below here target .7183 long term Fibo.”

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