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Flash: USD/JPY base building as AUD/USD sees post FOMC downside risks - OCBC Bank

FXstreet.com (London) - Emmanuel Ng of OCBC Bank suspects that USD/JPY will continue to base build post FOMC, while AUD/USD downside risks may have become entrenched.

He begins with USD/JPY, commenting that the pair may continue to base build after the FOMC with now a classic story of contrasts (i.e., Fed vs. BOJ) at play. He writes, “Near term resistance for the pair is expected going into the 100-day MA (96.85) and then the 98.00 neighborhood. A potential impediment to any USD-JPY ascent however may stem from Nikkei weakness and/or the heavy JPY crosses if global appetite sours again.” Moving to AUD/USD, he feels that post Bernanke, the downside risks for the AUD may have become more entrenched in the near term, especially with the latest RBA meeting minutes essentially on the opposite end of the spectrum relative to the Fed statement and Bernanke’s comments. He writes, “We look for the pair to seek comfort towards the 0.9200 floor in the interim.”

GBP/USD finds fresh offers

GBP/USD is trading above key support 1.5404 EMA50, printing a low of 1.5410 so far, with indicators in the red. Next support is the 61.8% fib at 1.5377, and 1.5307 as 50%fib, targeting in broader terms 1.5008 and 1.4833 to the down side.
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EUR/USD trading below 1.3200

The EUR/USD foreign exchange rate has relinquished its grip on the 1.3200 barrier Thursday, experiencing a further decline during European trading.
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