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14 May 2025

Fed’s Jefferson: Tariffs could lead to higher inflation

Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson said that recent inflation numbers suggest the Fed is still making headway toward its 2% target. However, he cautioned that the outlook has become less certain, with the threat of new import tariffs potentially pushing prices higher.

Key Quotes

  • Current moderately restrictive policy rate in a good place to respond to economic developments.
  • Recent inflation data consistent with further progress toward 2% goal, but future path uncertain due to tariffs.
  • Watching closely for signs in hard data of weaker activity.
  • Tariffs could lead to higher inflation, still uncertain if impact would be temporary or persistent.
  • Expect lower growth due to trade policy but expect economy to still expand over the year.
  • First quarter GDP data overstated deceleration in activity.
  • Labour market still solid.
  • Whether tariffs create persistent inflation depends on implementation, response of supply chains, other factors.
May 14, 2025

EUR a mid-performer in context of broad-based USD weakness – Scotiabank

The Euro (EUR) is entering Wednesday’s NA session with a decent 0.5% gain, a mid-performer among the G10 in the context of a broadly weaker US Dollar (USD), Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
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May 14, 2025

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD breaks support as market looks for next catalyst

Gold prices remain under pressure as investors reassess the interest rate outlook and digest mixed signals from recent US economic data. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is down 2.23% on the day, trading below $3,200, extending a week-to-date decline of 4.26%. 
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