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10 Apr 2025

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Cross jumps sharply but bearish signals persist

  • AUD/JPY surged, seen trading near the 91.00 zone after a strong intraday rally
  • Despite the bullish move, key indicators still suggest an overall bearish technical backdrop
  • Short-term resistance is seen near 91.20 and 91.90, with support holding around 90.90 and 87.30

The AUD/JPY pair staged a sharp rebound on Wednesday’s session ahead of the Asian open, climbing toward the 91.00 area after rising more than 4% during the day. Despite the aggressive intraday bounce, technical indicators and moving averages continue to flash bearish signals, hinting at lingering downside risk even as short-term momentum turns positive.

The pair is currently trading near the upper boundary of the day’s range, which spanned from 86.05 to 91.27, suggesting strong bullish pressure. However, several technical readings temper the optimism. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 42.71, still within neutral territory, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) issues a sell signal. Stochastic %K (14, 3, 3) at 29.69 and the Ultimate Oscillator at 48.82 both reflect neutral momentum.

Moving averages reinforce the broader bearish narrative. The 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 93.11, 100-day SMA at 96.08, and 200-day SMA at 98.08 all slope downward. Additionally, the 10-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 91.19 and the 10-day SMA at 91.89 are positioned above current price levels, acting as immediate resistance zones.


Daily chart


Apr 10, 2025

Fed's Hammack: I prefer to wait than move in the wrong direction with rates

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Cleveland President Beth Hammack joined the ever-growing chorus of Fed policymakers taking a hard cautious stance to interest rate forecasts, cautioning that uncertainty wrapped up in US trade policy will continue to make it difficult for the Fed to engage in market-smo
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Apr 10, 2025

Fed's Kashkari: Bar for cutting rates remains high

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari noted on Wednesday that increased market volatility at the hands of constantly-waffling US trade policy will continue to make it harder, not easier, for the Fed to engage in rate adjustments, especially as still-existing tariffs conti
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