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14 Mar 2025

GBP/USD hovers around 1.2950, four-month highs ahead of UK GDP, factory data

  • GBP/USD maintains its position near the four-month high of 1.2989 reached on March 13.
  • Risk sentiment weakened after President Trump threatened a 200% tariff on European wines and champagne.
  • Traders will closely watch the UK GDP figures as the BoE has expressed concerns over the economic outlook.

GBP/USD continues its decline for the second straight session, trading near 1.2940 during Friday’s Asian session. The pair faces challenges as the Pound Sterling (GBP) struggles amid weakened risk sentiment, exacerbated by concerns over global trade after US President Donald Trump threatened a 200% tariff on European wines and champagne, unsettling markets.

Traders now await the UK’s monthly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and factory data for January, set for release on Friday. Investors will closely watch the UK GDP figures as the Bank of England (BoE) has expressed concerns over the economic outlook. In its February policy meeting, the BoE revised its GDP growth forecast for the year to 0.75%, down from the 1.5% projected in November.

The US Dollar (USD) appreciates due to mounting concerns over a global economic slowdown, with traders focusing on Friday’s Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index data. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the USD against six major currencies, gained strength after Thursday’s positive jobless claims report and weaker-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) data. The DXY is trading around 104.00 at the time of writing.

US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending March 7 came in at 220,000, lower than the expected 225,000. Continuing claims dropped to 1.87 million, below the forecast of 1.90 million, indicating resilience in the US labor market.

Inflationary pressures in the US showed signs of easing. The PPI rose 3.2% year-over-year in February, down from 3.7% in January and below the 3.3% market forecast. Core PPI, which excludes food and energy, increased 3.4% annually, compared to 3.8% in January. On a monthly basis, the headline PPI remained unchanged, while core PPI dipped by 0.1%.

Economic Indicator

Gross Domestic Product (MoM)

The Gross Domestic Product (GDP), released by the Office for National Statistics on a monthly and quarterly basis, is a measure of the total value of all goods and services produced in the UK during a given period. The GDP is considered as the main measure of UK economic activity. The MoM reading compares economic activity in the reference month to the previous month. Generally, a rise in this indicator is bullish for the Pound Sterling (GBP), while a low reading is seen as bearish.

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Next release: Fri Mar 14, 2025 07:00

Frequency: Monthly

Consensus: 0.1%

Previous: 0.4%

Source: Office for National Statistics

 

Mar 14, 2025

Japanese Yen weakens amid positive risk tone; USD/JPY bulls retake 148.00 and seek higher levels beyond

The Japanese Yen (JPY) attracts some sellers during the Asian session on Friday and reverses the previous day's positive move against its American counterpart amid a slight improvement in the global risk sentiment.
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Mar 14, 2025

EUR/USD drifts lower below 1.0850 on US-EU tariff dispute

The EUR/USD pair edges lower to around 1.0835 during the Asian trading hours on Friday.
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