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12 Mar 2025

EUR/USD: Market focus shifts to US CPI – Danske Bank

EUR/USD has edged slightly higher over the last 24 hours, with the EUR and European currencies broadly outperforming in the G10 space amid rising optimism that Germany's debt package will be approved, Danske Bank's FX analysts Kristoffer Kjær Lomholt and Filip Andersson report.  

EUR and European currencies outperform in the G10 space

"Yesterday's US JOLTS job openings came in slightly above consensus at 7,740k (cons.: 7,600k) but saw negative revisions, leaving the data largely in line with expectations." 

"Trump's announcement of an additional 25% tariff on all steel and aluminium imports from Canada, effective today, had remarkably little market impact - reinforcing the view that tariff announcements hold diminishing significance for markets." 

"Today, the focus shifts to US CPI. We expect headline inflation at +0.2% m/m SA and core at +0.3% m/m SA - slightly below consensus for the headline print. However, this is not a high-conviction call, as the impact of tariffs remains difficult to quantify."

Mar 12, 2025

USD/JPY: Further tactical downside may be limited for now – Danske Bank

The tactical short USD/JPY spot trade from FX Top Trades 2025, initiated on 13 January, has reached its soft target of 147.00, Danske Bank's FX analysts Kristoffer Kjær Lomholt and Filip Andersson report.
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Mar 12, 2025

USD/CAD to tick down to 1.41 in the near term – Danske Bank

Today, focus in CAD FX space turns to the BoC meeting at 14:45 CET - where markets and consensus favour a 25bp rate cut, Danske Bank's FX analysts Kristoffer Kjær Lomholt and Filip Andersson report.
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