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7 Mar 2025

CAD: Eyes on jobs data after tariff relief – ING

The Canadian dollar rallied yesterday on the US announcement that USMCA-compliant products would be exempt from tariffs until 3 April, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.

Downside risks for USD/CAD are limited

"Almost all US-Canada-Mexico trade falls under USMCA, even though not all exporters are compliant with the Agreement's rules. Markets had never priced in 25% tariffs as a long-lasting measure, and USD/CAD had already corrected from the highs before yesterday's move."

"Today, we'll watch Canadian jobs figures for February ahead of next week's Bank of Canada meeting. Consensus is for a 20k change in employment, and we think we'll need to see a very strong figure to cast doubts on a cut next week."

"We believe the downside risks for USD/CAD are limited given the prospect of Canada still being hit by reciprocal tariffs in April. A return to 1.44 in the coming weeks is entirely possible, but today's US payrolls can still add some pressure."

Mar 7, 2025

EUR/USD: Uptrend remains intact – UOB Group

The current price movements are likely part of a range trading phase, probably between 1.0740 and 1.0840.
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Mar 7, 2025

USD/CAD: US postpones the imposition of tariffs on Canada – OCBC

The United States has once again postponed the imposition of tariffs on Canada until April 2nd.
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