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3 Feb 2025

EUR slide to mid-1.01 range reverses – Scotiabank

The EUR slumped to 1.0150 in early Asian trade but has since stabilized in the low/mid-1.02 range. President Trump made it clear that tariffs are coming for the EU as well in the not-too-distant future, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.

More losses look likely ahead

"The tariff threat is likely to bolster expectations for easier ECB policy in the months ahead, given the implications for EU growth. Eurozone Manufacturing PMI data for January was revised up (to 46.6, from 46.1) on upwardly revised (but still soft) German data. Eurozone CPI fell less than expected in January (- 0.3% M/M) to leave inflation a little higher than forecast (2.5% Y/Y, versus 2.4% expected)."

"The EUR’s weekend plunge has also left a gap on the short-term charts that the market may try and fill as the initial move lower moderates. A push to the 1.0300/50 range is likely to draw out renewed selling interest, however. Broader technical risks remain geared to a push under 1.00 and a drop towards 0.95/0.96 in the months ahead."

Feb 3, 2025

USD/CNH: Strong opening gap in USD suggests further advance – UOB Group

US Dollar (USD) could rise further; overbought conditions suggest 7.4000 is unlikely to come into view. In the longer run, strong opening gap in USD suggests further advance; expect 7.4000 to provide resistance, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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Feb 3, 2025

Oil: Tariffs on Canadian energy imports – ING

US tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico and China are set to come into effect on 4 February and failing to come to a deal would mean tariffs of 25% on Canadian and Mexican goods and 10% on imports from China. For Canadian energy, the Trump administration decided to impose a tariff of only 10%.
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