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28 Jan 2025

EUR slips back on tariff risk – Scotiabank

EUR/USD slumped right out of the gate in response to renewed tariff risks, leaving spot trading in a tight range in the low 1.04 area through much of Asian and European trade, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.

EUR slips back, positioning ahead of ECB

“EUR/USD may remain relatively subdued in the next few days. A 25bps rate cut from the ECB Thursday is fully priced in at this point. Sluggish growth momentum across the major Eurozone economies and the risk of tariffs suggests the ECB will keep the door open to easier policy in the months ahead.”

“Stalled gains yesterday and spot losses so far today combine to tilt the recently more positive technical signals for the EUR back to negative. Loss of support at 1.0455/60 (now resistance) suggests that near-term risks are edging towards a retest of the 1.0380/00 zone.”

Jan 28, 2025

CAD outperforms among G10 currencies – Scotiabank

It’s swings and roundabouts for the Canadian Dollar (CAD) at present as markets weigh the risk of tariffs and react to each and every headline that drops on the matter, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.

Confirming you are not from the U.S. or the Philippines

EUR slips back on tariff risk – Scotiabank

EUR slips back, positioning ahead of ECB

CAD outperforms among G10 currencies – Scotiabank

United States Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation came in at 0.3%, below expectations (0.4%) in December