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28 Aug 2024

EUR/USD: Lebih Banyak Volatilitas pada Kenaikan USD – Société Generale

Tahun lalu pada saat yang sama, pasar berjangka valas mengurangi posisi beli EUR. Baru-baru ini, posisi EUR sangat kecil, catat para ahli strategi valas di Société Generale

Risk Reversals akan Kembali ke Level-Level yang Datar

"Akselerasi EUR/USD di atas 1,10 selama beberapa minggu terakhir telah mendorong volatilitas yang terealisasi dan tersirat."

"Karena kecondongan valas biasanya memprediksi lebih banyak volatilitas pada kenaikan USD, peralihan ke positif dalam risk reversals EUR/USD jangka pendek merupakan sebuah inversi."

"Pergerakan ini konsisten dengan korelasi vol/spot yang positif, tetapi saat spot stabil, kami memprakirakan risk reversals akan kembali ke level-level yang datar."

Aug 28, 2024

Prakiraan Harga AUD/USD: Tren Naik Berlanjut ke Tertinggi Baru Agustus

AUD/USD memperpanjang rally dan menorehkan higher highs saat melanjutkan tren naik yang dimulai pada awal Agustus.

Posisi Jual CAD Menonjol – Société Generale

Cerita utama posisi valas adalah berakhirnya carry trade besar-besaran dan posisi jual yen terkait, catat para ahli strategi valas di Société Generale.