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13 Feb 2024

USD/INR: RBI unlikely to cut rates ahead of the Fed, supporting the Rupee – Commerzbank

USD/INR continues to hold around the 83.00 level and within the 82.50-83.50 range of the past four months. Economists at Commerzbank analyze the pair’s outlook after the latest inflation figures from India.

Welcome development on inflation

January headline inflation eased to a three-month low of 5.1% YoY Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, moderated further to 3.6% from 3.9% previously. This is encouraging as it suggests RBI’s tight policy stance is helping to keep inflationary pressures in check despite the strong demand backdrop.

RBI has stated that it desires to see inflation return towards 4%, the mid-point of the 2-6% target. As such, RBI is expected to maintain a hawkish stance near term. We don’t envisage them cutting rates ahead of the Fed. This in turn should also help to support INR.

Feb 13, 2024

Forex Today: US inflation data could wake the markets up

Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, February 13: Following another day of indecisive action on Monday, currency markets' attention shifts to January Consumer Price Index data from the US on Tuesday.

EUR/USD could see a moderate uptick this week – ING

EUR/USD was rejected around 1.0800 on Monday. Economists at ING analyze the pair’s outlook.