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1 Feb 2024

GBP/USD to drop back to 1.2500 on a three-month view but to edge higher to 1.3000 in H2 – Rabobank

Despite the impulse of the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of England (BoE) meetings, GBP/USD is currently trading very little changed from its levels 24 hours ago. Economists at Rabobank analyze Cable’s outlook.

The BoE rate will remain on hold until September

In our view, the first Fed rate cut of the cycle is more likely in June. This suggests the risk of further USD upside on a one-to-three-month view.

In our view, the BoE rate will remain on hold until September reflecting relatively higher levels of UK inflation.

We see potential for Cable to drop back to 1.2500 on a three-month view but to edge higher to 1.3000 in H2 as the Fed rate cutting cycle progresses.

Feb 1, 2024

USD/CAD: A final leg of Loonie weakness in the coming quarter – CIBC

Economists at CIBC Capital Markets expect the Canadian Dollar (CAD) to depreciate in the coming weeks before staging a comeback.

NFP Preview: Forecasts from 10 major banks, new year, same old labor market

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will release the January jobs report on Friday, February 2 at 13:30 GMT and as we get closer to the release time, here are the forecasts by the economists and researchers of 10 major banks regarding the upcoming employment data.