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1 Feb 2024

Good growth plus disinflation remains bearish for the USD – TDS

The FOMC kept rates on hold at 5.25%-5.50% for a fourth consecutive meeting in January. Economists at TD Securities analyze Dollar’s outlook following Fed’s decision.

USD rallies will be quickly faded

The Fed has seemingly priced out March as the start of the cutting cycle. Near-term, that could provide some support to the USD, though we also know that the Fed’s next move is likely to be a cut. We think USD rallies will be quickly faded, especially if the data validates the disinflation narrative ahead of the next meeting. 

Good growth plus disinflation remains bearish for the USD.

 

Feb 1, 2024

US ISM Manufacturing PMI improves to 49.1 in January vs. 47 expected

Business activity in the US manufacturing sector continued to contract in January, albeit at a softer pace than December, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 49.1 from 47.1.
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Feb 1, 2024

EUR/USD marginally recovers post-Fed’s meeting, amid strong US PMIs

The EUR/USD trims some losses, though it remains virtually unchanged after the US Federal Reserve (Fed) decided to hold rates unchanged and shrugged off market bets to cut rates in March.
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