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17 Oct 2023

EUR/USD: Push through 1.0560 should allow a retest of 1.06+ – Scotiabank

EUR/USD rebounds on firmer than expected ZEW survey results. Economists at Scotiabank analyze the pair’s outlook.

Firm support on dips to the 1.0500 area

Germany’s ZEW survey for October delivered better-than-expected results. The current assessment reading softened – but less than expected – to 79.9 (from 79.4 last month) while the expectations component improved to -1.1 (from -11.4), also better than forecast. The data suggest clear improvement in sentiment as the ECB rate cycle (likely) peaks. This may be a prelude to a slightly better economic performance.

Intraday EUR gains have been capped around 1.0560/1.0565 resistance again but a firm close on Monday tilts technical risks towards a bit more pressure on the upper 1.05s and firm support on EUR dips to the 1.0500 area.

A push through 1.0560 should allow the EUR to retest 1.06+.

Oct 17, 2023

GBP/USD: Loss of support at 1.2125 will edge risks towards a retest of 1.20 area – Scotiabank

GBP/USD slips as wage data hint at moderation. Economists at Scotiabank analyze the pair’s outlook. UK wage data for August came in a bit softer than

USD Index: Rally still looks prone to some technical retrenchment – Scotiabank

USD firms modestly. Economists at Scotiabank analyze Greenback’s outlook. Soft data risks for the US may be rising The USD is trading firmer overall b