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26 Jul 2023

USD/JPY to quickly target 145 on a dovish BoJ outcome – Credit Suisse

Economists at Credit Suisse analyze USD/JPY outlook ahead of the BoJ meeting.

The FX market is pricing in a significant probability of a hawkish development

The FX market is clearly pricing in a significant probability of a hawkish development such as widening the YCC trading band for the 10-year JGB or sending a strong message that the end of YCC is not far. We prefer to fade market sentiment and see better asymmetry in looking for a disappointingly dovish outcome.

We stick tight to our USD/JPY 135-152 forecast range for the quarter and would expect spot to target 145 quickly if the BoJ meets our expectations, especially if the Fed’s hike this week is not interpreted as a dovish one.

Jul 26, 2023

GBP/USD to reach the 1.40 level by end-2024 – Scotiabank

Economists at Scotiabank maintain a bullish GBP view. Supportive yield differentials lift GBP The GBP has recovered more than three-quarters of its sh

AUD/USD: Aussie has very limited upside – SocGen

If policy rates were everything, the Australian Dollar would be cheaper, economists at Société Générale report. Longer-term rates suggest more range-t