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20 Jun 2023

Indonesia: Trade surplus shrinks markedly in May - UOB

UOB Group's Economist Enrico Tanuwidjaja and Junior Economist Agus Santoso assess the latest trade balance figures in Indonesia.

Key Takeaways

Trade surplus in May eased sharply to just USD0.4bn from almost USD4bn in Apr, the lowest position in 2023-to-date as imports rose sharply. The easing external demand from Indonesia’s main trading partners and lower commodity prices underpinned the lower trade surplus in May.

Oil and gas (OG) exports contracted by similar magnitude of around 12.1% y/y in May as it was in Apr, while non-oil and gas (non-OG) exports increased by 1.9%, making a turnaround from Apr’s contraction of 30.4%.

OG imports still contracted by 6.5% y/y, but much lower than previous month's contraction of 22.5%, while non-OG imports grew by 18.9% in May, much higher than Apr’s contraction of 22.3%.

Jun 20, 2023

AUD/USD extends downside to near 0.6770 as USD Index refreshes day high

The AUD/USD pair has stretched its downside to near 0.6770 in the early New York session. The downside pressure in the Aussie asset is built-up by les

USD/ZAR: Easy gains for the Rand are likely behind us – SocGen

Inflation data from South Africa is due tomorrow. Economists at Société Générale analyze Rand outlook ahead of the report. USD/ZAR faces psychological