USD/CAD declines towards 1.3700 as uncertainty for Fed monetary policy deepens

• USD/CAD

The USD/CAD pair is displaying a back-and-forth action around 1.3720 in the early Asian session. The Loonie asset has turned sideways after a downside move and is expected to continue further toward the round-level support of 1.3700. The downside bias for the major has built as investors are worried about global banking turmoil, which is stretching day after day.

After the fiasco of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), Signature Bank, and Credit Suisse, a US-based First Republic Bank has come under scrutiny. As reported by Reuters, financial institutions including JP Morgan Chase & Co and Morgan Stanley, confirmed earlier reports they would deposit up to $30 billion into First Republic Bank's coffers to stabilize the lender.

Although the move would infuse fresh life into the foreign exchange bank, it won’t fade the fact that global banking turmoil is for real and central banks are going to face various problems in executing their monetary policies, which are operated through commercial banks.

S&P500 futures recovered early losses and settled Thursday’s session on a promising note. The demand for US government bonds dropped as investors are now considering an unchanged monetary policy by the Federal Reserve (Fed) as the banking crisis is deepening. Also, the declining trend of the United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) is also supportive. Therefore, the 10-year US Treasury yields have gained to 3.58%.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) remained sideways around 104.40 as the street is mixed about unchanged monetary policy or a 25 basis point (bps) interest rate hike by the Fed next week.

On the oil front, oil price has corrected marginally after a recovery move and an upside extension is expected as the G7 countries are restricting themselves from further sanctions on Russia after setting the price cap at $60/barrel. It is worth noting that Canada is a leading exporter of oil to the US and a recovery in the oil price would support the Canadian Dollar.