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16 Dec 2022

BOE Survey: Median expectation for peak bank rate is 4.25%

The Bank of England has recently published the finding of its latest Market Participants Survey that showed the median expectation for peak bank rate stood at 4.25%.

Additional takeaways

"Bank rate expected to peak in March 2023."

"29.8% chance of cut to bank rate within the next year."

"Participants see 76 bln sterling of QE unwind from November 2022-September 2023, 80 billion sterling unwind from September 2023 to September 2024."

"CPI seen at 8.3% in 6 months, 5.5% in one year, 3% in 2 years, 2% in 3 years."

Market reaction

GBP/USD extended its recovery after this publication and was last seen posting modest daily gains at 1.2193.

Dec 16, 2022

EUR/USD will find difficult to persistently leave the gravity force of parity – Danske Bank

EUR/USD holds above the 1.06 level. Nonetheless, economists at Danske Bank believe that the pair will struggle to leave the gravity force of parity. M

GBP/USD: Net loss on the week suggests more weakness – Scotiabank

GBP/USD is trading modestly higher. However, net losses on the week leave the pair prone to more weakness, economists at Scotiabank report. Intraday g